1. Get some kind of bad respiratory sickness with a moderate fever
2. Test to see if it's COVID; it is
3. Get a remote doctor's appointment to see if you can get a paxlovid prescription.
4. Doctor is happy to prescribe paxlovid, and even emphasizes that you need to get it today, partly because you have risk factors for complications
5. [Feeling feverish] Unfortunately you live in the SF Bay area. There are only two pharmacies within 5 miles of your house, and both are known for having bad service, presumably because crime forced the other ones to close about five years ago
6. [Feeling even more feverish] CVS sends you a text saying that your insurance has declined the prescription and it will cost you $1777 for one week of paxlovid (not a typo)
7. You Google how this can be, and discover that Pfizer offers some kind of copay card that covers $1400 of it. You shrug and print out the card, wondering how it can be that this is a socially appropriate outcome; nobody told you about this program, you had to Google it yourself.
8. Put on a kf94; go to the closer CVS. Stand in line for 15 minutes. They tell you that, even though, yes, it's not closing time yet, they can't possibly fill your prescription in time; I guess they had assumed that no one would be stupid enough to actually want their $1777 prescription filled, and had cancelled it. Not to worry though, they say, just go to the other CVS across town: they're open two hours later. You protest that you don't actually have the prescription to hand to them, but they assure you that the other CVS will be able to "pull" the prescription.
9. [Still feeling feverish] Go to the other CVS. Wait another 15 minutes. "Oh, gosh, I'm sorry sir but actually there's nothing we can do because of the way they cancelled the prescription at the other CVS. You'll have to come back tomorrow."
10. Fall over and fucking die

The more I think about gradual disempowerment, the more I think I should be a lot less libertarian.

Like, imo the central problem with gradual disempowerment is almost identical to (one of) the central problem(s) of unregulated markets: resources go proportionally to those who produce more value-from-the-point-of-view-of-those-with-resources.

From the point of view of human welfare, this is pretty fine when market participants are all fairly similar in terms of their potential productivity. But when some humans have extremely low potential for productivity, those humans' welfare is totally ignored by the market except insofar as other market participants happen to care about it enough to spend resources on it directly / terminally. This is exactly the situation that all humans will probably be in soon.

And it's not like I know what should happen instead; I think I had believed that UBI would be sufficient to solve it in the human-only-economy case, since surely humans have at least a bit of built-in terminal empathy on average. But it feels like, in an economy and governance structure where humans and human-sympathizing AIs compete with non-human-sympathizing AIs, we're going have to solve this in a more robust and permanent way.

Seriously guys, polyethylene is such a fucking cool material.

You get very different properties depending on the length of the polymer chains:

• Short-ish chains: Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE). This is what plastic grocery bags are made of. Easy to tear, easy to cut, lightweight.
• Highly branching chains: High-Density Polyethylene (HDPE). This is what Tyvek (the stuff from festival wristbands, construction projects, and some USPS envelopes) and gallon milk jugs are made of. Still easy to cut, but very hard to tear.
• Very long chains: Ultra-High Molecular Weight Polyethylene (UHMWPE, also called Dyneema or Spectra). This is one of the highest strength-to-weight ratio materials that you can buy in large quantities, competitive with the strongest carbon fiber (but also you can make it into flexible fabrics and cords, which you can't do with typical carbon fiber materials), twice as strong as spider silk, ten times stronger than steel by weight. You can't even cut the stuff with normal scissors. Some bulletproof jackets are made out of it. I just bought some cheap 1000lb-rated UHMWPE cord that is 2mm thick. 550lb paracord is twice as thick, and thus has four times the cross-sectional area, for only about half the strength.

All of these variants are extremely chemically stable, chemically simple, nontoxic, blah blah blah. When would you guess that this miracle material was discovered? The answer is... 1898 (though HDPE and UHMWPE weren't synthesized until... the 50s)