Huh. Are you going to say it's Latin? That would be pretty wild.
My guess before you asking would have been Spanish I think.
Latin practice day 1
Ego in ¿Superstimulūs? sum - is that how that goes? probably not.
Ego nōn valeō - had a slightly rough time with a flu+covid shot today after coming off of a cold.
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Then yeah, seems reasonable – the biggest variance on wait times is typically security, TSA pre cuts that down a lot in most airports, and the rare cases that cause a significant delay there are likely to delay a lot of people, which means a good chance the flight will be delayed as well. And domestic flights are typically pretty easy to reschedule if you miss them, unlike international.
There are caveats if you're at an unfamiliar airport or checking bags, but I imagine you're accounting for those already.
I recently had the unfortunate experience of an unreasonably long pre-check line at Newark airport. There was a lot of "wait, *this* is the pre-check line??” There were even signs advertising that you could skip this line if you get "pre-check clear." Everyone has a fastpass, so they invented a fasterpass.
(I think it would've been ~30-50 minutes of total waiting in the line if I hadn't apologeticly wormed my way up the line, explaining to people that I was about to miss my flight)
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Court houses have this kind of Objective Beauty that I find offputting. I think it's something to do with
1. marble floors are too noisy and squeaky
2. hallways are too echoey, makes you feel exposed
3. not enough windows
4. half the people there are miserable for various reasons
(I expect that people in a supreme court are less miserable than in the average court, but more miserable than in the average office building)
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Have been flossing for a week after a dentist appointment put the fear of God into me and damn, that shit is still bloody and painful. Hope it doesn't persist too long I guess?
Googling this, people say it subsides in a week, but I feel like the fundamental problem is that it's hard to get the floss into the cracks between the teeth, meaning that when they do get in it's with high speed.
Actually googling just now apparently the thing I am doing is a flossing mistake? I don't know how successful their proposed alternative is tho...
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looks like from siliconvalley.com/2024/10/05/p…
phew, don't have to adjust which sources I pay attention to since I've never heard of siliconvalley.com
New AXRP with Jaime Sevilla!
Epoch AI is the premier organization that tracks the trajectory of AI - how much compute is used, the role of algorithmic improvements, the growth in data used, and when the above trends might hit an end. In this episode, I speak with the director of Epoch AI, Jaime Sevilla, about how compute, data, and algorithmic improvements are impacting AI, and whether continuing to scale can get us AGI.
RSP overhang
A complaint about AI pause: if we pause AI and then unpause, progress will then be really quick, because there's a backlog of improvements in compute and algorithmic efficiency that can be immediately applied.
One definition of what an RSP is: if a lab makes observation O, then they pause scaling until they implement protection P.
Doesn't this sort of RSP have the same problem with fast progress after pausing? Why have I never heard anyone make this complaint about RSPs? Possibilities:
- They do and I just haven't seen it
- People expect "AI pause" to produce longer / more serious pauses than RSPs (but this seems incidental to the core structure of RSPs)
Crossposted from LessWrong
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https://x.com/Philippe4269/status/1841365949720474004
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Notes on superstimulus
- It's very small, and most people who I would want to talk to aren't here
- I don't find it that rewarding to check because I don't see that much stuff.
- That said, I do like it
- I think it's because I feel some obligation to post minimally thoughtful things here. Where on FB / twitter / my personal slack channel, I just post whatever's on my mind.
- This would be a bad omen if true
- That said, it's possible that's because there's a decent quality of people here, and/or 2014-era FB was an unusually good architecture for hosting discussions.
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Sometimes people say that you can't really have law under anarchy. But, inspired by a recent episode of Divided Argument (dividedargument.com/episodes/s…), I think American constitutional law is a counterexample.
Constitutional law looks and acts like law that constrains the federal and state governments. But there isn't a super-government that rules over the federal government that constitutional law appeals to, where if the federal government disobeyed rulings the super-government would punish them. Instead, courts rule on constitutional law, and the federal government follows, probably because the individual humans who work for the government by and large think that's the best for them in the long run.
This doesn't prove that law for humans could work without a state. There are way more humans than there are governments, so even a small rate of people ignoring courts is quite bad (where a small rate of governments ignoring courts is tolerable). And of course there are a bunch of other disanalogies. But it does indicate that stateless law is a conceivable thing.
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Notes from my dental appointment:
1. apparently I have recessed gums, and they recommend I get a scaling and root planing procedure, which is pretty expensive
2. apparently my tongue is big enough that there's a good chance I have (undiagnosed and asymptomatic) obstructive sleep apnea
Anyone have opinions about how seriously I should take this? For 1, I have a general sense that dentists sometimes upsell people, and for 2, I don't know if undiagnosed sleep apnea is actually a big deal (or what the cost/benefit of treating it would look like).
every time I see a mg of caffeine number I google "caffeine in a cup of coffee" again because I haven't yet managed to store that number in my brain
it's 40mg so this is 5 (!) cups of coffee
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A thing I didn't realize would be a consequence of making a niche podcast is how much podcast spam email I get. Mostly of the form "bring my client as a guest on your podcast", sometimes of the form "use our social medium" etc. Examples that I've received in the last ~week at the end of this post.
IDK maybe this is unsurprising given that podcasts have an email attached to them. Interestingly it does seem to happen more now that my podcast is more prominent than it was ~2 years ago.
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AXRP Episode 36 - Adam Shai and Paul Riechers on Computational Mechanics
I made an episode about computational mechanics and I think it's cool and you should watch (or listen or read as the case may be)!
Blurb I wrote:
Sometimes, people talk about transformers as having "world models" as a result of being trained to predict text data on the internet. But what does this even mean? In this episode, I talk with Adam Shai and Paul Riechers about their work applying computational mechanics, a sub-field of physics studying how to predict random processes, to neural networks.
ToC if that's interesting:
- 0:00:42 - What computational mechanics is
- 0:29:49 - Computational mechanics vs other approaches
- 0:36:16 - What world models are
- 0:48:41 - Fractals
- 0:57:43 - How the fractals are formed
- 1:09:55 - Scaling computational mechanics for transformers
- 1:21:52 - How Adam and Paul found computational mechanics
- 1:36:16 - Computational mechanics for AI safety
- 1:46:05 - Following Adam and Paul's research
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- I recorded this episode 3 months ago to the day - one of my longest publishing lags ever, in large part because of being busy with MATS.
- Some of the stuff we discuss got worked on during MATS.
- IDK I think this episode is pretty cool.
Alex Altair
in reply to Daniel Filan • • •